40% PROFIT ALERT: Meesho IPO GMP Surges to ₹45 - Final Listing Pop Forecast
Meesho IPO GMP today December 5 has touched exciting levels making retail investors super excited about listing gains. The e-commerce giant’s public offering is closing today and the grey market premium signals strong profit potential for those who applied.
Grey market trends are showing ₹49.5 premium over the issue price of ₹111 per share which means investors could see around 44 percent returns on listing day scheduled for December 10. This IPO has become one of the hottest topics among retail investors with subscription numbers crossing 11 times within the first few hours of day 3.
The Meesho IPO worth ₹5,421 crore has grabbed massive attention from all investor categories especially retail and non-institutional investors. Social media platforms are buzzing with discussions about the GMP surge and potential listing pop.
Many first-time IPO investors are participating in this offering hoping to make quick profits. The company’s zero-commission model for sellers and strong presence in tier 2 and tier 3 cities has impressed market watchers. With just hours left before the subscription window closes investors are rushing to submit their applications. The grey market activity clearly shows that demand is much higher than supply which is a positive sign for listing day performance.
The subscription numbers for Meesho IPO have shocked everyone in the market. Non-institutional investors have shown crazy demand by subscribing 18.57 times their allocated quota. This category includes high net worth individuals and smaller institutions who usually have good market sense.
Retail investors are not far behind with 11.42 times subscription which shows strong confidence among small investors. Even qualified institutional buyers who are usually more careful have subscribed 8.22 times their portion.
The overall subscription of 11.73 times on day 3 morning itself suggests that final numbers could cross 20 to 25 times by closing. This kind of demand is rarely seen in recent IPOs. Market experts believe that the zero-commission business model and massive user base of 234 million have attracted investors.
The company handles 2.27 billion orders annually which proves its scale. Social media is full of posts from investors who have applied for maximum 13 lots hoping for allotment and listing gains.
Meesho IPO GMP has been steadily climbing since the issue opened. On day 1 it was around ₹47 which increased to ₹51 on day 2. Now on the final day it has touched ₹49.5 showing sustained demand in unofficial markets. The grey market premium of 44.59 percent means shares are trading at ₹160.5 in unofficial channels against the issue price of ₹111. This indicates strong listing day expectations.
Kostak rates which show intra-day trading premium are between ₹120 to ₹150. Subject to sauda rates for full allotment flip are in the range of ₹200 to ₹250. These numbers clearly show that grey market participants are betting big on this IPO.
Several brokerages including ICICI Direct and Angel One have predicted listing price between ₹158 to ₹165 which translates to 42 to 49 percent gains. However investors should remember that grey market premiums are not guaranteed and actual listing prices can differ.
Meesho has shown impressive growth in revenue over the past three years. The company reported ₹9,390 crore revenue in FY25 compared to ₹5,735 crore in FY23.
This represents more than 60 percent growth in just two years. The gross merchandise value reached ₹503 billion in FY25 showing strong transaction volumes. The company has 90 percent penetration in tier 2 and tier 3 cities which gives it a unique competitive advantage.
However profitability remains a concern as the company is still making losses. In H1 FY26 the net loss was ₹700 crore on revenue of ₹5,578 crore. The contribution margin has also declined from 5.61 percent in FY24 to 3.82 percent in H1 FY26.
But the company has turned free cash flow positive in FY25 which is a positive sign. The management plans to use IPO proceeds for cloud infrastructure AI development and marketing initiatives. The company’s AI labs and content commerce experiments could drive future growth.
The price band for Meesho IPO is set between ₹105 and ₹111 per share. Retail investors need to apply at the higher end to maximize allotment chances.
The minimum lot size is 135 shares which means minimum investment of ₹14,985 at upper price band. Retail investors can apply for up to 13 lots which equals ₹1,94,805 maximum investment. The retail quota is 10 percent while QIB gets 75 percent and NII gets 15 percent allocation.
| Investor Category | Quota | Subscription Times |
|---|---|---|
| Retail Individual | 10% | 11.42x |
| Non-Institutional | 15% | 18.57x |
| Qualified Institutional | 75% | 8.22x |
The subscription window closes today December 5 at market hours. Basis of allotment will be finalized on December 8 and shares will be credited to demat accounts on December 9. The listing is scheduled for December 10 on both BSE and NSE. Investors should apply through their broker’s platform or directly through UPI-based applications. Remember to check your bank account for blocking of funds and wait for allotment status.
Most brokerages have given subscribe rating for Meesho IPO from a long-term perspective. They highlight the company’s scaled operations AI-driven efficiency improvements and emerging growth opportunities in content commerce and Meesho Mall.
The company’s partnership with 700,000 plus sellers and presence across India gives it strong network effects. The zero-commission model has disrupted traditional e-commerce and attracted millions of small sellers.
However some analysts caution about the losses and intense competition from Amazon Flipkart and quick commerce players. The cash on delivery failure rate of 22 percent is also a concern. Marketing spend of ₹1,020 crore post-IPO might pressure margins in near term.
Investors looking for quick listing gains might find this attractive given the strong GMP. But for long-term wealth creation one should consider the company’s path to profitability and competitive challenges.
Meesho IPO has created huge excitement in the market with strong subscription numbers and healthy grey market premium. The listing day on December 10 could see significant gains if current trends continue.
Retail participation has been exceptionally high showing confidence in the company’s business model. The company’s focus on value-conscious buyers in smaller cities positions it well for India’s growing e-commerce market.
Investors who got allotment should decide their strategy based on risk appetite. Those seeking quick profits might consider selling on listing day to book gains. Long-term investors can hold the shares if they believe in the company’s growth story and ability to achieve profitability in coming years.
The key will be watching how Meesho manages competition improves unit economics and expands into new categories while maintaining its cost advantage.
TAGS: Meesho IPO GMP today, Meesho IPO subscription status, Meesho listing date, Meesho grey market premium, IPO GMP December 2025, Meesho share price forecast, e-commerce IPO India
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